Yes out of years and years and years of trading the one thing I learned is that I can’t predict what the future will bring. Logic has no place in the markets and they are even more random then the wind.
I’d say you’d even have more luck at the casino. Go ahead, bet on black! Almost 50/50 percent chance there! Unfortunately not so with the stock market. It is FIXED and FIXED in a bad way.
They now make sure that even when you bet right you could loose your shirt. At least that doesn’t happen in Vegas.
Don’t believe me? Go ahead, bet against the market and see what happens! Even the VIX products don’t behave like VIX products anymore. Lots of potential loss on way down but no gain on way up.
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